Yesterday the European Commission cut
its estimate for the growth of the Eurozone. This year it will only measure
0.8%, as against the 1.2% estimate from earlier. Growth forecast for 2015 has
been cut to 1.1%, from 1.7%.
The Commission cited low inflation
and high unemployment as contributing to the difficulties. France and Italy
were given particular mention in this regard.
Separately, a report
from Reuters has highlighted the discord that exists between the ECB and
the German central bank, the Bundesbank. Apparently this centres on the
tendency of the ECB president, Mario Draghi, to go ahead with independent
actions or to make announcements based on the majority outlook of the other
members of the ECB governing council. This might work in the USA, but in Europe
the members would prefer consensus.
Personal relations between Draghi and
the head of the Bundesbank, Jens Weidmann, are also said to be difficult. Our
EU correspondent tells us that on those occasions when they are obliged to
attend the same function they tend to be found on opposite sides of the room
most of the time, by mutual agreement.
Euro
rises on QE doubts
The market, for now at least, seems
to be putting more store in the Reuter’s article than in the news about the
lowering of growth forecasts. The Euro got a significant lift against most of
its counterparts on the expectation that the discord between the ECB and the
Germans will result in either a delay in the introduction of measures to boost
inflation, or their total abandonment.
The ECB monetary policy statement and press conference tomorrow (Thursday) promises to be as interesting as ever.
The ECB monetary policy statement and press conference tomorrow (Thursday) promises to be as interesting as ever.
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