After the start of the US session
yesterday the EURUSD pair sliced fairly neatly through the support level we had
identified in the 1.07 region. The next level of meaningful support, from the
Technical Analysis (TA) standpoint, is at or near 1.05.
It looks very much like the minutes
of the FOMC meeting, which were released almost 24 hours earlier, finally
received sufficient analysis from the market movers to bring them to the
viewpoint that interest rates will rise in the US around the middle of this year.
Danske
Bank certainly thinks so
According to a note from the traders
at Danske Bank, which you can read here,
they are of the opinion that Euro parity with the US dollar will be reached
within six months. They take the view that rate rises in the US are only a
matter of when, not if, and that they should start to be priced in from now.
They target a 1.005 (yes that is two zeroes after the decimal point) exchange rate.
Apart from the good things that are
expected to come out of the US to support the dollar, the Danske Bank traders are
also of the opinion that we have not had anything like the final word from
Greece, to trample down the Euro. They see the Hellenic Republic as being “…an
omnipresent concern for the Eurozone”.
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