As noted yesterday, the Euro – US
dollar pair had been responding for the previous two days to the positive vibes
coming out of the Eurozone, bidding up the Euro. This tendency accelerated during
and after the ECB monetary policy statement and press conference on Wednesday.
One might have expected that there
would be something of a correction yesterday, after two days of solid rises
and, indeed, it looked like that was about to happen early on. However, it now appears
that a fairly offhand remark made by Draghi at the press conference in reply to
a question from a journalist, when he said that fixed income, or bond, dealers
would have to “get used to” volatility in that market, had a big effect. It
seems to have triggered a surge of buying in the Euro, as elevated Eurozone
sovereign bond market activity can have that effect. Then, a large number of
sizeable Forex players, who had been betting on the Single Currency going down,
found that their protective stop loss orders were being hit.
As we know, a stop loss order on a
short trade is a buy order. All of these coming together yesterday morning had
the effect of making the EURUSD pair take off to the upside – a classic short
squeeze.
The upward swing was neatly reversed
in later trading and, towards the close of the London session yesterday, the
exchange rate was pretty much back where it had started, and was respecting the
200 period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 10 minute chart as a support
level (see chart above).
Greek
bank deposits at lowest in 10 years – WSJ
We are grateful to the Wall Street
Journal for the graphic above, which illustrates the acceleration of
withdrawals from Greek banks on the back of the current difficulties that the
government has in reaching agreement with the EU and the IMF regarding bailout
funding.
Greek bank deposits have now fallen
to a level that has not been seen for 10 years.
Greek banks themselves are being
propped up by emergency funding that is routed from the ECB through the Greek
central bank. The whole sorry story is one more reason why the Greek situation
must be resolved in the very near future.
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